» Investment Strategies – Etfs For Commodities And Emerging Markets – Bloomberg -FAQ
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Commodity ETFs (exchange traded funds) have been around for long enough that investors are well aware of their presence now, but a newcomer to the market is making some waves. Natural gas ETFs have been on the market for just over a year and have done pretty well so far. In April, 2007, Victoria Bay Asset Management introduced the first natural gas exchange traded fund and in its first year rose over 40%. Victoria Bay manages other energy ETFs and has plans to introduce more in the near future.
Natural gas exchange traded funds are futures commodities that track the price movements of natural gas and invest in future contracts. Natural gas exchange traded funds can be quite volatile since they are based on predictions, but volatility is not necessarily a bad thing with natural gas ETFs because the trends tend to go the opposite way of crude oil and can positively offset the oil EFTs in your energy portfolio.
Natural gas ETFs are not protected by the Investment Company Act of 1940 because they are securities. Because of this some investors don’t feel safe with natural gas, but others seem to enjoy the fact that they can trade without these government impositions.
One downside to natural gas exchange traded funds is that the fund doesn’t pay into federal taxes, nor do they plan to, and therefore any taxes from earnings or deductions from losses from natural gas ETFs will be the responsibility of the investor. There really is no upside to this except that you get to keep your money and earn interest on it until tax time, rather than the management company earning your interest.
Some analysts warn of the high risk of natural gas exchange traded funds because they are so volatile and because of the chance that some companies might back out on their contracts and there is no way to recover from this due to the lack of liquidity of natural gas futures.
Other experts can only see that natural gas EFTs will continue to grow, slowly but surely they say. This is because of the crazy weather conditions that seem to be unending. With extremely cold winters and excessively hot summers, consumers are using up natural gas as quickly as it can be pumped in to run their heaters and air conditioning. These experts are the same who suggest buying a one year contract to make sure that you hit both seasons.
For those of you who are still considering natural gas ETFs, here are a few things to watch. Weather – extreme heat and cold during the seasons, as well as unusual heat and cold in certain regions. Think about it, if you live in Seattle and are used to mild 75 degree summers, when the temperature hits 95 you will be cranking up the air, if you have air that is. Many people in that region don’t even have air conditioners because they don’t need it, but recently they had a heat wave and the retailers couldn’t keep them in stock. Another thing to watch is government. Congress is trying to pass an energy bill to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and countries around the world are trying to figure out what to do about global warming. Natural gas burns cleaner than other energies and will soon be in even greater demand. Looking for a new commodity ETF? The choice should be simple.
Watch the video related to etfs
Analysis and Discussion with Harry Clark of Clark Capital Management: Rotate Into Less Defensive Stocks Now, Tech and Small Caps; Owns Utilities, Energy, and Healthcare, But Underweight on Pharma; Likes Stocks with Dividends and Value Prices; Uses ETFs to
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Tags: commodity etfs, etfs, Natural Gas Etf, silver
November 24th, 2009 at 10:06 pm
Another consideration is that ETF's can be bought/sold like stocks. There is no "holding period" as required by many mutual funds that you purchase through a brokerage account or direct from the mutual fund company. So if the ETF sector is heading down (eg. real estate VNQ), you can get out by simply selling your shares.
November 24th, 2009 at 10:07 pm
My theory is this; Silver is underpriced let me give you a clue to survival for you and your family. Forget the stock market it is irrelevant.
But this is the keynote when you hear the mainstream media talking up silver BEWARE! THIS IS WHEN THE AVG jOE WILL SELL FOR A PAPER PROFIT.
This is a mistake. after they buy back the silver and gold for worthless paper then the dollar collapses and all your profits are moot!
Be smart hold your cards and let them gravel!!!
November 24th, 2009 at 10:27 pm
You can short the TLT if you want to bet long term interest rates will go up.
Alternatively, you can buy TBT. That is you take a long position on TBT to get the desired effect. TBT is double-short long bond ETF. That is, the return you get on this ETF is the same as that of taking a leveraged short position on long-term bonds.
November 24th, 2009 at 10:42 pm
Yes, that is part of it. Corrolation to the spot price depends on the combination of trade in the futures, options, or stock of companies in or related to the commodity. Also depends on whether it is a ETF or an ETN. The UNG is an ETN and it is being discontinued within the next couple days because it has preformed poorly.
November 24th, 2009 at 10:56 pm
Best to own physical silver and gold.
November 25th, 2009 at 5:08 am
I don't believe Fidelity operates any ETFs. You can buy and sell ETFs through your Fidelity brokerage/retirement account. iShares is one of the biggest ETF providers.
QQQQ looks very interesting and has returns near or better than Contrafund (FCNTX). FCNTX seems to perform better in bear markets, QQQQ a slight bit better in neutral and bull markets.
November 25th, 2009 at 1:03 pm
Tell us your expectation at mygoldprediction
November 25th, 2009 at 6:03 pm
great info on silver and its supply status.. ..thanks
November 26th, 2009 at 3:20 pm
etfconnect.com lists all by family. best resource available.
November 26th, 2009 at 6:59 pm
If you want to short the market, then you need to sell individual stocks or widely traded ETFs like DIA or SPY short. Bear ETFs don't actually work the way they are described. Due to technical difficulties in the structure of the ETFs they don't always exactly mirror the market that are supposed to. In the big market drop a year ago, many bear funds experienced liquidity problems and the price of the ETF went down even though the underlying index was going down. This meant that people who predicted that the market was going down lost a lot of money even though they were right.
Moral of the story: if you want to go short, then go short; don't look for gimmicks.
November 26th, 2009 at 8:10 pm
I think the scam is coming to an end. People are going into PM and disregarding the BS.
November 27th, 2009 at 12:00 am
how mush are the ” Pigs That Fly”??
November 27th, 2009 at 3:59 am
I use Scottrade and have been very satisfied. They have a good trading platform and customer service. They are cheaper than Etrade.
I'm not familiar with Zecco, other than looking at their website. But based on your question, you won't need much in the way of service. They could be a no cost way to trade ETFs. I have noticed a number of questions about them which can indicate a customer service problem. Look their site over and see what you think.
November 27th, 2009 at 7:55 am
save some for me!
November 27th, 2009 at 11:55 am
It depends.
If you plan to make a one time deposit, ETFs.
If you're making monthly deposits, funds.
If you're somewhere in between, it depends on the commission you'd pay to your broker to buy the ETF.
One warning, not all brokers let you buy ALL funds for free. Check with your broker first.
November 27th, 2009 at 11:39 pm
They’re not taking it to free mkt level. Because of this COMEX will go bust and there is no way in hell they can survive in 2011. By end of 2010 is my prediction that COMEX will go bust. THey had isues delivery last April and got gold in the nick of time from ECB who sold tons of gold
November 28th, 2009 at 5:51 am
History establishes a trend and gives cues as to how the market HAD dealt with the company in regard to things that went on. It does not directly bear on the future any more than if the previous coin toss were heads. As in the coin, there is still a 50-50 chance on either heads or tails (although I have had a few land on edge, they eventually fell one way or the other). What the market DID (past tense) does not require the market to do it again.
Still, check for major events and trends. Does your stock tend to go up when the Dow goes up? Or may be it goes the other way (as in folks would rather buy a popular blue chip than buy this company when they are in a buying mood)? Or is there any common correlation (often not)? Is your stock seasonal? My first purchases were for an air conditioning manufacturer, so I bought when it was cheap, Winter, and sold when it was higher, early to mid-Summer. If your company, say, made hot chocolate, it would have a different season than it it, say, sold snow cones. Has your company done a lot of ups and downs but within a fairly steady corridor? Then there are reasons why the market may have established a ceiling and a floor, so ferret out some ideas for those price supports or resistance. Similarly, if you can discern other characteristics that frequently happen, you've just been handed an opportunity to improve your odds–if your coin tosses have never gone more than one side four times in a row, for instance, I would bet for the other side, even if the actual odds for that specific toss were still only 50-50. If your stock tends to peak in January, April, and August, then look at your calendar and time your purchases, or sales, with that in mind, even if you haven't figured out the common causes. History, therefore, gives hints and clues. The market, however, doesn't have to bow to history. In that you are on your own.
Still, there is another important history. It involves comparative advantages. Does your company tend to make more profits than its peers? Does your company tend to make more profits more consistently than its peers? Does your company look like it will continue to perform this way? (If not, then look more closely at its peers) Profitability tends to win out over hope and hype in the long run, so look at its history of doing business, and let the market do whatever it wants.
The first is trading. The latter is investing. What are you really wanting to do?
November 28th, 2009 at 6:21 am
sure seems to me that Someone knows something.. Buy more gold/silver and hang on.. We are going to need it